Skip to main content

Relax, its still contrarian.

Times have changed. There was no interest in gold sometime back and all of a sudden its all rage. The interest showed by general populace is amazing.

There are tons and tons of articles explaining the value of gold as a hedge against inflation. I feel like squeezing their neck and scream why are you giving the greatest investment tip of the century free and that to bozos who does not understand it at all nor make even a feeble attempt to understand. I ell them patiently these are the very people who will stone your house and break your leg, the day gold prices hit a correction phase. They just dont have the discipline or the conviction (convictions comes from knowing the underlying wisdom) to appreciate what you say. Anyway, I appreciate their concern for welfare of others. And I admire them for that.

And at the same time there are many articles, which are predicting the downfall in the commodity markets as the interest rates rise. This is, as of now, unfortunately not sufficient in number. I would like to propose the government give subsidy, tax exemptions and civilian welfare award to these writers. After all they are bringing all their gold out of their closet and selling. The brave people who think they can weather the financial storm without the gold cover.


The honest part is more they sell more the gold is cheaper haha

The gold is gaining currency and is not contrarian any more. Or is it?

Many people are rushing into gold for one of these reasons

1. They want to buy it before it goes up [or they have to buy it for their wife at higher rates]

2. They have heard analysts say it will go. Why? Why why?

3. They want to use the present momentum to make some money

4. The gold future are new instrument, and they want to roll and shine in front of their friends, in how they can handle complex financial instruments

5. (And very plausible reason, especially in growth economies like India and China) They just have too much money floating and incidentally are buying jewellery.

6. Just getting lucky

7. And yes some do understand. But I am willing to bet, this group is still very small

The fact of the matter remains, that not many people are buying gold understanding the real value of gold and why the investment makes sense. The contrarians still are very much alone in the love of gold. For sometime they have to endure the chase-the-fad freaks.

It makes eminent sense to invest in gold, even at this level. It is still contrarian.


:) Falkor

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

How-to overcome sendentary lifestyle.

Some interesting points on overcoming sedentary lifestyle. There are many other routine ones, just try googling that. 1. Some not so routine tips on avoiding the sedentary lifestyle 2. Walking while talking on phone is a good way to get expressive and burn calories too. 3. Don't use the phone to call someone a short walking distance away. Walk and visit whenever possible. Same for grocery shopping. 4. Catch a different bus that makes you walk a bit more. You can catch a bus from a different stop, a little farther from your regular stop. 5. Pacing the length of the subway platform whenever the train/bus is late. 6. Dance Source: from various places on net

Net Neutrality - Fight for free expression

The "Net neutrality" issue, where we fear networks/infrastructure providers will decide (euphemism for censorship) what customers will read/watch/listen/buy on net. Many of the features that we fear in the "Net-neutrality" have already been implemented across various other platforms like telecom. For example, my telecom service provider has blocked the competitors GPRS sites and also does not allow access to many other sites on Internet, from where the free goodies like mobile applications, software, games, wallpapers, tones etc can be downloaded. This leaves me with the only service provider for above products, the service provider himself. This is totally blocking my freedom and my right to choose. This is just a glimpse; with "Net-neutrality" issues at stake are enormous. There should be no way; any entity (maybe, other than individual governments.) should be able to determine what is accessible and what is not. :) Falkor

Definition of Cult Stocks

From a blog: A classification describing stocks that have a sizable investor following, despite the fact that the underlying company has somewhat insignificant fundamentals. Typically, investors are initially attracted to the company's potential and accumulate positions in speculation that its potential will be fulfilled, providing the investors with a substantial payout. While most of these cult stocks promise they will be the next big story after they make a new discovery or get the newest contract from the government, most do not provide investors with anything other than the story. Furthermore, these stocks typically generate very little, if any, revenue at all. For example, many micro-cap biotech stocks are cult stocks. While they promise that they are going to be working on a miracle compound or drug, most of them do not have any source of income as they slowly burn away their initial capital in research and development. However, some cult stocks do occasionally make good on...