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Power is BJP's to Win, If They Play It Right.


Politically, today's election results are a Game-Changer. Government has both good news and a bad news. The ball is now completely in BJP's court and how it will play it will determine its political fortunes for 2014 or earlier.

The background of the story is the same frustrating government with not a spine but heavily dependent on two opportunistic rogue allies. Government for all its bravado will not be able to do anything substantial in future even with help of these rogue allies.

The biggest news for congress simply is that BJP for all the stinking corruption charges against Congress, could not make a dent in Himachal Pradesh. This is not a win of Congress but a serious defeat of BJP in being able to capture its vote base. Nothing highlights the BJP's inadequacies better than the resounding defeat in HP despite all the incumbency odds stacked up against Congress.

From the perspective of Congress, this is a genuine relief. They would be very happy that people are still not pi**ed off enough to vote them out of power. They still have a lifeline or two.

The big news for BJP, was in Gujarat. The resounding win of Narendra Modi is a clear message that action-on-the-ground works better than thousand speeches and promises. 

From the Congress' perspective it is now clear that they will not be able to stop the Modi-factor if it becomes pan-India. 


Cutting the cr*p, simply put each party is left with a major action point:

a. BJP has to go into the next elections under the leadership of Modi. There cannot be any other way. Sushma and Jaitley are smart enough to get this message now. If they disagree on this, BJP will be relegated to the position they have in Himachal Pradesh now.

b. It is imperative for the Congress to stop this Modi-mania leaking all over India. They have to stop this strom-in-teacup before it assumes the proportions of a tour-de-force. And they precisely have time till: 

   (a) BJP comes under the banner of Modi and 
   (b) Modi begins his electioneering pan-India.

Depending on the BJP, Congress will have its window of opportunity. Any dilly dallying on the Leadership issue wil be critical for its survival. People like Yeddyurappa (the Ex-BJP's) will begin sniping at the voter base, and Congress will be a willing ally to such parties and people. 

The plan of action, if they choose to take it, is very simple. Advani, Sushma, Jaitley and their motley crew agree to contest the next elections on the success and credentials of Narendra Modi. And if the are to do it, they have to it fast! And once the leadership is sorted out, rather realized, they will have to:

a. begin marketing the brand-Modi all India. Nothing, will scare Congress like brand Modi going pan-India, and,

b. with a strong assertive message and focus on the inefficiency and failures of the Manmohan Singh's government. More they are able to take the message across on the gross failures of this government, more they will help themselves into power.


In conclusion, the power of 2014 or ever earlier, is BJP's to take. Actually, it has been so for past year or so, but for the strange apathy to do it. Today, the message to BJP camp is loud and clear, and so too to Congress' camps - BJP can win only if only if Modi is at helm and Congress can win only if BJP decides to shoot itself in the foot.

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